aalvesaquino Posted August 10, 2017 Share Posted August 10, 2017 Pessoal, boa noite! Estou analisando as probabilidades com 16 prognósticos na Lotofácil e estou na dúvida: São possíveis gerar 204.297 apostas de 16? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lotofacil2100 Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 16 minutos atrás, aalvesaquino disse: Pessoal, boa noite! Estou analisando as probabilidades com 16 prognósticos na Lotofácil e estou na dúvida: São possíveis gerar 204.297 apostas de 16? Na verdade, é um "pouquinho mais": 2.042.975 apostas. Só não são necessários todos eles para garantir os 15 pontos...o mínimo matemático (que ninguém tem) é 204.297, esse valor que vc citou. Deve ter na WEB alguma 25-16-15-15 com umas 700 ou 800 mil combinações. A matriz 25-16-14-15 por exemplo tem 21.000 combinações. LOTOFÁCIL de Fácil só tem o nome. Obs.: se vc fixar algumas dezenas, consegue reduzir muito esse número de combinações, mas só terá lucro se acertar as fixas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aalvesaquino Posted August 11, 2017 Author Share Posted August 11, 2017 Vlw pelo retorno lotofacil2100! Multiplicando por 10 aquele valor informado pela Caixa, chega próximo dos 2 milhões de combinações... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aalvesaquino Posted August 11, 2017 Author Share Posted August 11, 2017 Complementando o assunto... vamos dizer que se eu buscar a garantia de acertar as 15 dezenas, as quantidades de apostas ficariam: 15 Dezenas: 3.268.760 16 Dezenas: 2.042.975 17 Dezenas: 1.081.575 18 Dezenas: 480.700 Seria isso lotofacil2100 e estudiosos de loterias? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieJoe Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 aalvesaquino, Tenho este arquivo de linhas de 16 garantindo 15 se acertar 15 pontos. Mas usa 24 dezenas e não 25. Com 25 não tenho. https://www.dropbox.com/s/3r3v8kbbquz02am/n24c16g15s15 %3D 107553.txt?dl=1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lotofacil2100 Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 Aquino, como eu disse acima, para 16 dezenas por cartão não são necessárias as 2 milhões de combinações. Deve fechar 15 com umas 700 mil combinações, para jogos com 17 dezenas deve fechar com umas 30 mil combinações e para jogos com 18 dezenas cerca de 7.000 combinações. O mínimo teórico para 100% (mas que ninguém tem) é: 16 dezenas = 204.297 combinações 17 dezenas = 24.035 combinações 18 dezenas = 4.005 combinações A única que precisa de todas PARA GARANTIR 100% os 15 pts. é jogando com 15 dezenas. Aí, só com as mais de 3 milhões de combinações. (todos considerados SEM DEZENAS FIXAS, com algumas Fixas, cai bastante esse número) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieJoe Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 aalvesaquino, Vamos ver isso com calma: n25c18g15s15 = 4006 linhas de 18 (no cálculo teórico). Na prática, existe um desdobramento com 13.834 linhas de 18 no Weefs, neste link: http://www.weefs-lottosysteme.de/systeme,7,100707,en.htm É do Sildemar Castro e Nino Aspesi. Só pegar lá e inverter para linhas de 18. n25c17g15s15 = 24.035 (no cálculo teórico). Vai dar mais do dobro no real. Mas não tenho e não conheço Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aalvesaquino Posted August 11, 2017 Author Share Posted August 11, 2017 Oh loko! Aqui só tem fera! DixieJoe, não compreendo como chegar em 25-18-15-15 com o material disponível no link que você no enviou, na referência consta apenas combinações com 7 prognósticos, não é? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieJoe Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 aalvesaquino O espelho dessas vai lhe dar linhas de 16 dezenas garantindo 15 se acertar 15. Se você não tiver programa para fazer o espelho, me avise que dou um jeito de mandar pra voce em linhas de 18 dezenas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lotofacil2100 Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 17 horas atrás, aalvesaquino disse: Oh loko! Aqui só tem fera! DixieJoe, não compreendo como chegar em 25-18-15-15 com o material disponível no link que você no enviou, na referência consta apenas combinações com 7 prognósticos, não é? Baixe = http://www.mediafire.com/file/dpkmk37l8dsaanz/25-18-15-15+%3D+13834.txt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieJoe Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 aalvesaquino e demais, Se ajudar a alguem, estas 150 linhas de 18 foram as melhores até o sorteio 1547 para acertar 15 pontos. Uma delas, pelo menos, acertou 15 a cada 2-3 sorteios, em média. É torcer para que uma delas continue premiando 15 pontos nessa média no futuro. Pelo menos, nos próximos 20-30 sorteios. Só vendo... 01-02-04-05-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-17-18-19-21-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-08-09-10-11-12-13-15-20-21-22-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-06-09-10-12-13-15-17-18-19-20-21-22-24-25 01-02-03-04-06-09-12-13-15-16-17-18-19-20-21-23-24-25 01-04-05-06-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-17-19-20-21-22-23 01-05-07-08-09-10-12-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-21-22-23-24 02-03-04-06-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-18-20-21-22-25 02-04-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-18-21-22-23-24-25 03-04-05-06-08-09-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-18-21-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-09-11-12-15-17-19-20-22-23-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-09-11-13-14-17-18-19-20-23-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-13-15-16-18-20-21-22 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-14-15-16-17-20-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-12-13-15-16-17-18-19-20-23-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-08-10-11-12-13-14-15-17-22-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-08-10-11-12-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-22 01-02-03-04-05-06-09-11-12-13-14-15-17-20-21-22-23-24 01-02-03-04-05-07-09-10-11-12-13-14-17-19-20-21-22-23 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DixieJoe Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 aalvesaquino e demais interessados, Já estas 228 linhas de 18 acertaram 527 vezes 15 pontos e 2310 vezes 14 pontos entre o sorteio 1 e 1547. Pegaram 14 ou 15 pontos em 80% dos sorteios. Acho que são ótimas para o futuro próximo. Resta ver se continuarão premiando no mesmo ritmo. Às vezes, elas podem diminuir o ritmo, mas não muito. SE ALGUEM TIVER UMA BOA SUGESTÃO PARA A GENTE DEFINIR A(S) MELHOR(ES) CANDIDATA(S) PARA OS PRÓXIMOS SORTEIOS, é muito benvindo. Convite ao mestre das Análises e Previsões: Pitaco_Certo! Acredita ser possível trabalhar apenas com essas 228 linhas de 18 tentando destacar poucas linhas delas com mais chances nos próximos sorteios? Se uma das escolhidas vier com 15, podemos ter certeza de lucro, mesmo jogando poucos jogos (Não é necessário jogar todos os 3.876 jogos de 15 de cada linha. LEMBRANDO (acho importante!) Podemos considerar que não haverá sorteio que tenha 2 dessas linhas com 15. Apenas 1 delas terá 15. No período analisado, apenas 2 sorteios tiveram 2 linhas com 15. Então, podemos desprezar, concorda? --------------- De novo, uma solicitação aos estudiosos: Como podemos criar um algoritmo que nos ajude a pegar linhas de 18 (ou de qualquer quantidade de dezenas) e selecionar 1-2-3 com maiores chances? Essa resposta é a que todos precisam para ter lucro na Lotofacil. Vejam que eu não disse ACERTAR 15 PONTOS! Eu disse e reafirmo: ganhar dinheiro, sempre que tiver 15 pontos numa das poucas linhas selecionadas, e jogando poucos cartões. Se quiserem jogar todos os 3876 jogos de 15 de uma linha de 18, então vai ser possível acertar 15 pontos, claro. Desde que nessa linha de 18 tenha os 15. ----- 01-02-04-05-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-17-18-19-21-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-08-09-10-11-12-13-15-20-21-22-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-06-09-10-12-13-15-17-18-19-20-21-22-24-25 01-02-03-04-06-09-12-13-15-16-17-18-19-20-21-23-24-25 01-04-05-06-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-17-19-20-21-22-23 01-05-07-08-09-10-12-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-21-22-23-24 02-03-04-06-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-18-20-21-22-25 02-04-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-18-21-22-23-24-25 03-04-05-06-08-09-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-18-21-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-09-11-12-15-17-19-20-22-23-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-09-11-13-14-17-18-19-20-23-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-13-15-16-18-20-21-22 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-14-15-16-17-20-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-07-08-12-13-15-16-17-18-19-20-23-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-08-10-11-12-13-14-15-17-22-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-06-08-10-11-12-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-22 01-02-03-04-05-06-09-11-12-13-14-15-17-20-21-22-23-24 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DixieJoe Posted August 11, 2017 Share Posted August 11, 2017 1 hora atrás, lotofacil2100 disse: Baixe = http://www.mediafire.com/file/dpkmk37l8dsaanz/25-18-15-15+%3D+13834.txt Lotofacil2100, Parabéns por esse desdobramento com 13834 linhas. É o mesmo do Sildemar e do Nino Aspesi que está no Weefs? No histórico, até o sorteio 1547, acertou 15 em todos. Mas, estou gostando da idéia do "desdobramento histórico" (como denominou nosso amigo dois). Peguei as 13834 e testei contra os 1547 resultados até agora e parei em mais ou menos 80% de sorteios em que pegou 15 e 14. Deu 228 linhas apenas! Achei a idéia muito promissora. Concorda? Acho que temos que investir em estudos com esse tipo de resultado. Precisamos parar de querer acertar 15 em 100% dos sorteios. Com 80% dos sorteios (para acertar 15 ou 14) já é uma grande coisa, na minha opinião. E, no nosso exemplo dessas 228 linhas de 18 selecionadas das 13834 que você disponibilizou, tivemos 80% dos sorteios com 15 ou 14. Pouco mais de 20-25% dos sorteios tiveram acertos de 15 com essas mesmas 228 linhas de 18. Menos de 2% das 13834 linhas de 18 até o 1547 pegaram 15 em mais de 20% dos sorteios! Estatísticamente muito significativo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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