MOC Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 Em média, quanto de retorno vocês conseguem na Lotofácil quando fazem um volume um pouco maior de jogos? Exemplo: com 100 jogos em média consigo 25%. Quando aumento bastante o numero de jogos o retorno permanece nessa faixa também. Isso conferindo em vários concursos a mesma massa de jogos. Esses 25% seriam uma boa média ou isso é o que todos jogo da lotofácil dá de retorno? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieJoe Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 Ola, MOC Penso que deveria ser melhor do que 25% o que voce chamou de retorno. Se eu entendi direito, voce joga 100 linhas de 15 a R$.2,50. Investe R$.250,00. Então o total de prêmios, na média, deveria ser em torno de 30% desse valor, pelos cálculos que fiz, usando uma geração puramente aleatória simples (sem nenhum controle na geração = FILTROS). Menor número em vários sorteios foi 0,15. Maior deu 0,60. Em nenhum sorteio pegou 15 nem 14. Máximo que pegou foi 13 acertos. Eu chamo esse indice de I.F. (Indice Financeiro) = Valor dos Prêmios dividido pelo valor do Investimento. Veja asw 100 linhas aleatórias simples que gerei e, por favor, faça os mesmos testes para confirmar se tem perto de 0,30 de IF. 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MOC Posted September 19, 2021 Author Share Posted September 19, 2021 4 horas atrás, DixieJoe disse: Ola, MOC Penso que deveria ser melhor do que 25% o que voce chamou de retorno. Se eu entendi direito, voce joga 100 linhas de 15 a R$.2,50. Investe R$.250,00. Então o total de prêmios, na média, deveria ser em torno de 30% desse valor, pelos cálculos que fiz, usando uma geração puramente aleatória simples (sem nenhum controle na geração = FILTROS). Menor número em vários sorteios foi 0,15. Maior deu 0,60. Em nenhum sorteio pegou 15 nem 14. Máximo que pegou foi 13 acertos. Eu chamo esse indice de I.F. (Indice Financeiro) = Valor dos Prêmios dividido pelo valor do Investimento. Veja asw 100 linhas aleatórias simples que gerei e, por favor, faça os mesmos testes para confirmar se tem perto de 0,30 de IF. Ocultar conteúdo 01-09-10-12-13-14-16-17-18-19-20-21-23-24-25 01-02-04-05-06-07-08-09-12-15-17-18-19-20-24 01-02-03-04-06-08-09-11-13-16-19-20-21-22-23 01-02-03-04-08-09-12-13-14-15-18-19-20-24-25 01-04-05-08-10-11-14-15-16-17-18-19-23-24-25 03-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-13-16-18-19-21-23-25 02-03-05-08-11-12-13-14-15-17-19-20-21-23-25 03-04-06-08-10-11-12-15-16-18-19-20-21-22-23 05-06-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-18-19-21-24-25 01-03-04-05-07-09-10-12-13-16-17-18-22-24-25 02-03-04-05-09-11-12-16-17-18-20-21-23-24-25 01-02-03-06-10-11-12-13-14-16-17-19-20-21-23 01-02-04-07-09-10-11-12-14-15-16-20-21-23-25 03-04-05-07-09-11-12-13-15-17-18-20-21-22-24 01-02-03-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-20-21-22-24-25 02-04-08-09-10-11-13-15-16-17-18-19-21-23-24 04-06-07-08-09-12-14-15-16-18-19-20-22-23-24 02-04-05-08-09-10-12-14-15-17-18-20-21-22-23 01-02-04-07-08-13-14-17-18-19-21-22-23-24-25 03-04-07-08-09-11-12-14-15-16-19-21-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-06-07-08-10-12-16-17-18-19-23-24 01-02-03-08-11-13-14-15-16-17-21-22-23-24-25 01-02-03-07-08-10-11-12-14-16-18-19-20-24-25 02-03-04-05-06-08-10-11-12-15-18-19-20-23-25 02-03-04-05-06-08-14-15-16-18-20-21-22-24-25 01-02-05-09-10-11-13-14-15-16-17-18-20-23-24 01-04-05-08-09-11-12-14-15-18-19-22-23-24-25 04-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-15-16-17-18-20-23-24 01-02-03-04-05-06-09-15-16-17-19-21-22-23-25 03-05-07-08-09-11-13-14-15-16-18-20-21-22-23 02-04-09-10-11-13-16-17-18-19-20-21-23-24-25 01-02-06-08-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-18-22-24-25 01-02-03-04-06-07-08-10-13-16-18-19-21-22-25 01-02-03-04-07-10-13-14-16-18-20-21-22-23-24 01-04-05-06-07-09-10-12-14-16-19-21-22-23-25 01-03-07-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-17-19-20-24 01-03-04-05-06-12-13-14-16-17-18-19-21-24-25 03-04-05-07-08-09-11-14-16-17-19-20-22-23-24 01-02-05-08-10-11-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-23-25 03-07-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-19-21-22-23-24-25 01-02-04-05-08-11-12-13-15-16-17-18-19-21-24 01-02-03-04-09-10-11-12-13-15-16-20-21-23-24 03-04-05-06-07-08-09-10-11-12-15-17-21-24-25 01-02-03-05-06-11-12-15-17-18-20-21-22-23-25 01-03-05-08-09-10-11-12-13-14-16-18-23-24-25 04-06-07-08-11-12-13-14-15-17-18-19-20-21-22 01-02-03-06-07-08-09-12-13-14-17-20-22-23-25 02-03-04-06-07-09-10-11-14-16-18-19-21-22-23 01-04-05-08-11-12-13-16-18-19-20-21-22-24-25 05-07-08-09-10-13-15-16-17-18-19-20-22-23-24 01-03-06-07-08-09-10-11-12-13-17-20-21-24-25 01-02-03-05-09-10-11-13-15-16-19-20-21-22-25 02-03-05-08-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-20-21-22-24 02-04-05-06-08-10-13-14-15-16-17-18-19-22-25 02-05-06-07-08-11-12-14-16-19-20-21-22-24-25 03-04-05-06-07-09-10-11-12-16-17-20-21-22-24 01-02-04-08-09-10-11-14-16-17-19-20-22-23-25 01-04-05-08-09-12-13-14-16-17-18-21-23-24-25 02-05-06-07-09-10-13-15-17-18-19-20-23-24-25 02-03-04-05-09-11-12-13-14-16-17-19-20-21-22 01-02-04-05-07-09-11-16-18-19-20-21-22-23-24 03-04-05-07-08-11-12-13-14-15-16-19-20-23-25 01-02-04-05-07-08-11-13-14-15-19-21-23-24-25 01-02-04-05-07-08-09-11-12-15-16-19-20-22-25 01-06-07-08-09-10-11-13-15-17-18-19-20-24-25 01-04-05-06-07-08-10-11-12-13-16-17-18-19-24 02-03-04-05-12-13-14-15-17-18-20-21-23-24-25 02-03-04-05-08-09-13-14-15-18-19-20-21-24-25 01-02-03-05-07-08-11-12-13-14-15-16-17-21-24 03-04-05-06-07-09-14-15-17-19-20-21-22-23-24 02-03-05-06-08-09-10-12-13-14-18-21-23-24-25 01-02-05-07-10-12-13-16-17-19-20-21-23-24-25 01-04-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-17-19-20-21-24-25 04-06-07-08-09-10-11-12-13-15-16-18-19-22-24 01-04-07-08-09-10-12-14-15-17-18-20-22-23-25 02-03-04-05-09-10-12-15-17-18-19-20-22-23-24 01-03-05-06-07-08-10-12-13-14-16-20-21-24-25 01-02-03-05-07-08-09-11-12-15-16-17-19-24-25 03-04-05-07-09-10-11-12-13-16-19-20-22-23-24 02-04-06-10-11-12-13-16-17-18-19-20-21-23-24 01-02-04-07-08-09-10-12-13-14-16-17-18-19-24 01-03-04-06-07-09-10-12-13-15-18-20-21-23-25 02-03-04-07-09-10-11-12-13-14-15-17-18-20-22 01-02-03-07-09-10-11-13-15-19-20-22-23-24-25 01-03-04-05-06-07-11-12-14-15-16-18-19-20-24 02-04-08-09-10-12-15-16-17-18-20-22-23-24-25 01-02-03-04-05-07-10-15-16-19-21-22-23-24-25 02-03-05-07-08-09-14-15-16-19-20-21-22-24-25 01-02-03-05-06-07-11-12-15-17-18-20-21-23-25 02-03-04-05-06-08-09-10-11-13-14-15-18-19-23 01-04-05-09-10-14-15-17-18-19-20-21-23-24-25 02-03-05-06-10-11-12-13-14-15-16-18-21-23-24 02-03-06-07-08-10-11-12-13-14-16-19-22-23-25 03-04-05-06-07-08-09-14-15-16-17-18-19-20-21 01-02-03-04-06-09-10-13-14-15-16-17-22-23-24 01-03-05-07-08-09-10-12-14-16-17-18-19-20-21 01-02-03-04-07-10-12-14-15-17-18-19-20-22-25 01-03-04-05-06-08-10-12-13-15-17-18-19-21-24 02-03-04-05-06-07-09-11-12-13-14-15-17-20-21 01-04-05-08-09-12-13-14-15-16-18-19-20-21-22 Sim, isso mesmo. Mas pegando um universo maior de concursos tende a ficar perto de 25%. Com suas linha deu 1 de 14 pts em 326 concursos conferidos. A questão é, um bom jogo sempre ficará nessa casa dos 25%? É possível explicar isso matematicamente? Tem jogos que crio que não chegam a 20% no longo prazo, outros fica nessa faixa de 25%, no máximo aproxima de 30%. Queria saber se alguém consegue algo mais que isso. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pedepano Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 15 horas atrás, MOC disse: Em média, quanto de retorno vocês conseguem na Lotofácil quando fazem um volume um pouco maior de jogos? Exemplo: com 100 jogos em média consigo 25%. Quando aumento bastante o numero de jogos o retorno permanece nessa faixa também. Isso conferindo em vários concursos a mesma massa de jogos. Esses 25% seriam uma boa média ou isso é o que todos jogo da lotofácil dá de retorno? algum tempo atrás fiz uma planilha para analisar essa questão de retorno e constatei que a média de retorno a longo prazo na lotofácil vai ficar entre 20 a 35% nas maiorias das vezes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieJoe Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 Penso que deva ficar entre esses 20 a 40%. Quanto a "criar" jogos "melhores", só encontrando algum tipo de filtro que segure premiações mais altas. A eterna busca... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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